EVs Take 65.3% Share In Sweden – Tesla Mannequin Y Leads

June noticed plugin EVs take 65.3% share in Sweden, up from 56.5% year-on-year.  Each BEVs and PHEVs grew quantity while all different powertrains declined. General auto quantity was 27,565 items, up 10% YoY. The Tesla Mannequin Y was the best-selling BEV in June.

June’s auto gross sales noticed mixed plugin EVs take 65.3% share in Sweden, with full battery-electrics (BEVs) at 38.9%, and plugin hybrids (PHEVs) at 26.4%. These shares examine YoY in opposition to 56.5% mixed, with 35.9% BEV, and 20.6% PHEV.

June noticed an honest YoY uptick for plugins, each BEV and PHEV, although be aware that the 2024 baseline was weak. For a broader perspective, the 35.2% year-to-date BEV share continues to be down in comparison with the identical interval in 2023 (37.3%), as is YTD quantity (49,667 vs 52,445 items).

It’s tempting responsible this BEV stagnation over the 2 years merely on Tesla’s quantity drop in Sweden (3,586 vs 10,260 items YTD). However the transition’s reliance on a single model exposes the dearth of a mature BEV market, and weak efforts by legacy auto (enabled and guarded by tariffs on Chinese language manufacturers).

The stagnation in EV progress can also be enabled by the current back-sliding of EU emission rules, in a transfer designed to appease legacy auto and shield their short-term income coming from previous ICE investments, on the expense of emissions, air pollution and residents’ well being.

That the European political class has as a substitute switched consideration (and funding) to navy manufacturing, while concurrently supporting settler-colonial genocide in Gaza, simply highlights {that a} tradition of supremacism and hubris is a poor basis for a sustainable society.

Finest-Promoting BEVs

After a gradual begin in getting the refreshed Tesla Mannequin Y transferring in quantity, it lastly stepped up considerably in June, and (narrowly) took the lead with 869 items. The current favorite Volkswagen ID.7 took second place, with the Volvo XC40 in third.

Considerably surprisingly, the brand new Skoda Elroq fell again in quantity in June, and slipped outdoors the highest 20. That is seemingly only a short-term allocation drop, nevertheless, because the Elroq continues to be climbing strongly in different European markets.

The MG model had a robust month, with each the MG5 and MG4 having their highest volumes in nearly two years.

There have been two BEV debutants in June. The brand new Sensible #5 arrived, with a modest 4 items. Don’t anticipate an excessive amount of from this mannequin, as Sensible is just not actually pursuing the Swedish market presently, with simply 16 items (throughout all fashions) delivered thus far in 2025. The Sensible #5 is a D-segment SUV (with a size of 4,705 mm), ranging from 566,800 SEK (50,800€).

The Opel Frontera additionally noticed its first registrations, with 6 items in June. That is now not a brand new mannequin, having debuted 9 months in the past in Germany. Aside from modest volumes in business vans, Stellantis is just not presently prioritising the Swedish market, so don’t anticipate to see many Fronteras on the roads within the close to future. Even Stellantis’ Citroen e-C3 has solely proven up in very low volumes (below 20 items per thirty days on common), since its Swedish debut in February.

The Lynk & Co 02 was absent in June, following its 104 unit debut in Might. In contrast, its group-cousin, the brand new Zeekr 7x, stepped as much as a wholesome 132 items from 86 items in Might.

Checking in on the small-and-affordable segments, the Renault 5 elevated modestly to 134 items in June (from 121 in Might). The Hyundai Inster was lacklustre, at simply 4 items, and hasn’t but seen an even bigger month than its modest debut again in February (37 items).

The main B-segment BEVs proceed to be the Kia EV3 and the Volvo EX30, however neither are inexpensive. Since Stellantis is barely working in Sweden, it might be unwise to hope that the e-C3 Aircross can have a lot affect right here, actually within the close to time period. Sadly, BYD can also be not but prioritising rising its enterprise in Sweden, so the Dolphin Surf received’t shortly change issues.

The most effective new hope for B-segment within the close to time period is for the Renault 4 to reach and acquire traction. I anticipate its elevated “SUV” format has an opportunity at better success in Sweden than the hatchback Renault 5, however it’ll scarcely be inexpensive in any true sense (seemingly beginning round 30,000€).

Let’s get an replace on the trailing 3 month rankings:

The Volkswagen ID.7 retains the highest spot for the 4th consecutive month, with the Volvo XC40 holding regular in second place.

After a gradual Q1, the Volvo EX30 had a stronger Q2 total and climbed to 3rd spot, displacing the Tesla Mannequin Y all the way down to fourth, regardless of the latter’s lead in June. One good month, amongst two weak months, is just not sufficient to shine on this chart. Let’s see if the Mannequin Y’s elevated volumes in June are the beginning of a restoration, or only a blip aided by the top of the quarter.

Additional again, the Polestar 4 has simply had its three strongest months of the yr, and climbed to sixth in Q2, from eleventh in Q1, doubling its quantity over the prior interval. Likewise, the Audi A4 e-tron, which had solely simply debuted in Q1, climbed effectively to eleventh spot in Q2.

Regardless of the brand new Skoda Elroq not seeing a lot quantity progress over the previous two months, it has however simply scraped into the highest 20, in 18th spot. In most different markets (and total in Europe) it has already overtaken its sibling the Enyaq, but it surely has not but completed so in Sweden and Norway.

The Renault 5 stays outdoors the highest 20 for now, in twenty sixth. It might want to maintain a median of round 150 items per thirty days as a way to climb into the highest 20, and isn’t but fairly there (134 items in June). On its present trajectory, it might probably be a part of by the top of September. Let’s regulate it.

Outlook

Swedish auto quantity has grown 6.5% yr to this point, and plugins have outperformed with 18.4% YoY progress. HEVs have additionally grown (by some 15%), whereas combustion-only automobiles (and notably the earlier “ethanol” classification) have misplaced out. 2024 was a weak benchmark nevertheless, and plugin quantity continues to be a way down from 2023’s YTD complete. Put merely, Sweden’s transition continues to be transferring at a snail’s tempo.

For context, the broader financial system stays lacklustre, with 2025 Q1 GDP information (newest out there) recording simply 0.9% YoY progress. Headline inflation elevated from 0.2% in Might, to 0.8% in June, and rates of interest lastly noticed a trim from the earlier 2.25% all the way down to 2.0% in mid June. Manufacturing PMI fell to 51.9 factors in June, from 53.6 factors in Might.

What are the underlying causes for Sweden’s transition slowdown for the reason that finish of 2023? What’s going to it take to get it again on monitor? Please share your ideas and views within the feedback beneath.