Elon Musk has lengthy mentioned settling Mars is SpaceX’s raison d’être, however the world’s richest man has now pivoted his consideration to the moon. The corporate is concentrating on an uncrewed lunar touchdown in March 2027 and has ambitions to create a “self-growing metropolis” on our nearest celestial neighbor.
The information marks a dramatic shift from Musk’s long-standing aim of a everlasting human presence on the crimson planet, which he has framed as a technique to hedge humanity’s future towards a cataclysmic occasion on Earth. Solely a 12 months in the past the billionaire labeled missions to the moon “a distraction.”
However in a shock announcement posted to X on Tremendous Bowl Sunday, Musk revealed the change in technique, confirming a Wall Road Journal report earlier within the week that SpaceX was pushing aside plans for a Mars mission to deal with lunar landings as an alternative.
“For these unaware, SpaceX has already shifted focus to constructing a self-growing metropolis on the Moon, as we are able to doubtlessly obtain that in lower than 10 years, whereas Mars would take 20+ years,” wrote Musk. “The mission of SpaceX stays the identical: lengthen consciousness and life as we all know it to the celebs.”
The sensible benefits of this shift are clear. As Musk notes, Mars is barely accessible when the planets align each 26 months, with every journey taking six months (or longer). Journeys to the moon can launch each 10 days and would take just some days to reach.
Lunar landings are additionally an issue SpaceX already wants to resolve. The corporate has a $4 billion contract with NASA to return astronauts to the moon utilizing its Starship rocket. The Artemis III mission will try to land a crew on the moon in 2028, although it’s unclear whether or not SpaceX’s car can be prepared in time.
Nonetheless, the pivot to the moon seems to be about extra than simply pragmatism. Musk has change into more and more centered on synthetic intelligence and, in current months, has instructed this mission could overlap together with his house ventures. Particularly, he has floated the concept that space-based knowledge facilities could assist remedy the vitality constraints at the moment holding again AI growth.
Final week, Musk put his cash the place his mouth is by asserting that SpaceX had acquired his AI firm xAI in a merger valuing the brand new entity at a whopping $1.25 trillion. In feedback at an all-hands assembly at xAI on Tuesday night, heard by the The New York Instances, Musk unveiled an bold imaginative and prescient for the way the corporate may construct a manufacturing unit for AI knowledge facilities on the moon’s floor.
The plan features a large electromagnetic catapult referred to as a “mass driver” to launch satellites from the lunar floor into house. He additionally described constructing “a self-sustaining metropolis on the moon,” which may act as a stepping stone to Mars.
The pivot may be in response to rising competitors from Jeff Bezos, his chief rival within the personal house race. The billionaire’s rocket firm, Blue Origin, has lastly began to ship with its New Glenn launch car, and sources advised Ars Technica that Bezos needs his crew to go “all in” on lunar exploration.
Crucially, Blue Origin is creating a crew transportation system that doesn’t require orbital refueling. SpaceX’s Starship, then again, would require round 10 to 12 tanker flights to fill the car with propellant earlier than it units off on a lunar mission, in response to Area.com.
Whereas Starship has a serious payload benefit—greater than 100 tons to the lunar floor—the relative simplicity of Blue Origin’s expertise may enable it to land people on the moon earlier than its rival.
Regardless of the refocus on the moon, Musk insisted he hasn’t deserted Mars. In his Sunday submit, he emphasised that SpaceX nonetheless has plans to construct a metropolis on the crimson planet and missions to begin this course of will start in 5 to seven years.
Given Musk’s document for overly bold timelines, his prognostications on each the moon and Mars ought to most likely be taken with a pinch of salt. Nonetheless, it appears more and more possible that humanity’s first off-Earth settlement can be rather a lot nearer to residence than we thought.
