Should you rank properly in conventional search outcomes, does that imply you’ll get cited in AI Overviews?
We determined to seek out out.
We pulled a million key phrases that triggered AI Overviews and extracted the highest three hyperlinks cited inside these AIOs: a complete of 1.9 million quotation hyperlinks in our database.
We then analyzed the connection between:
- The place web sites ranked in Google’s conventional prime 10 outcomes
- Whether or not and the place those self same web sites bought cited in AI Overviews
We calculated the Spearman correlation between rating within the prime 10 and being cited within the prime 3 AI Overview outcomes. The correlation was 0.347.
This can be a constructive reasonable correlation, which means that greater SERP rankings are related to a larger probability of being cited in AI Overviews.
Nonetheless, it’s not a assure.

Even pages rating #1 solely seem within the prime three cited hyperlinks in AI Overviews about 50% of the time. So sure, whereas it’s true that should you rank #1 within the SERPs, you’re extra prone to be cited in an AI Overview than should you have been ranked decrease.
However that probability is a coin flip at greatest.
Right here’s the place it will get attention-grabbing. We additionally seemed on the correlation between the place of the cited URL versus their natural rating positions.
The correlation was 0.445.
In different phrases, pages that rank greater within the SERPs don’t simply have a greater probability of being cited; additionally they are usually cited extra prominently within the AI Overview once they’re included.
Wrapping up
From our analysis, evidently Google does use some overlapping alerts for each conventional rankings and AI Overviews choice. However the correlations inform us that AI Overviews aren’t merely repackaging the highest search outcomes.
search engine optimisation nonetheless issues. Larger rankings enhance your possibilities of AI Overview citations. And should you can rank excessive and get cited, you’re extra prone to be featured prominently within the AI Overview.
Nonetheless, our examine additionally means that there is one thing past conventional search engine optimisation. Whereas we don’t but know all of the elements Google makes use of for AIO choice, it’s clear they’re not merely lifting the highest search outcomes.
Possibly, as our analysis suggests, it’s all about your model and net mentions.


Should you’d like to trace your branded mentions in AI Overviews, be certain to take a look at Model Radar:
- Go to Ahrefs Model Radar
- Hit the “Google AI Overviews” tab
- Seek for your model identify
- Choose “key phrase OR AI Overview” from the dropdown


This may present your complete AI Overview possession, and any development or decline over time.
Any questions or feedback? Let me know on LinkedIn.